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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2009 / iii / Paper 36 / 2 / c / Solution

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2009 iii Paper 36 2 c
Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
A constant improper prior would give the formal posterior density kernel N−11{N≥y}​. However,
∑N=y∞​N1​=∞.
(1)
There is no normalized posterior distribution under this prior. The failure is not simply that the prior is improper: some improper priors give proper posteriors. Here posterior propriety itself fails after this single observation, so probabilities, quantiles and a posterior mean cannot be assigned to that kernel.

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