Solution (source code)

= Solution

Under the frozen-age <exponential distribution> convention, the mean waiting time is the reciprocal of the outgoing <transition intensity>. The beliefs therefore specify
$$
q_{12}(50)=\frac1{10},\quad q_{12}(60)=\frac15,\qquad
q_{23}(50)=\frac12,\quad q_{23}(60)=1.
$$
Both rates double over ten years. Consequently
$$
\boxed{a=0.1\ \text{year}^{-1},\qquad b=0.5\ \text{year}^{-1},\qquad
\beta_{12}=\beta_{23}=\frac{\log2}{10}\ \text{year}^{-1}.}
$$
These calibrate the age-specific constant-rate means; they are not exact mean ages of future events when age-dependent rates continue increasing throughout the waiting time.

For a literal continuously ageing interpretation, a rate $q e^{\beta u}$ gives a <Gompertz distribution> for the waiting time. For $\beta>0$, its mean is
$$
m(q,\beta)=\int_0^\infty\exp\!\left[-\frac q\beta(e^{\beta u}-1)\right]du
=\frac{e^{q/\beta}}\beta E_1(q/\beta),\qquad
E_1(z)=\int_z^\infty\frac{e^{-v}}v\,dv.
$$
Here $E_1$ is the <exponential integral>. Solving $m(a,\beta_{12})=10$ and $m(ae^{10\beta_{12}},\beta_{12})=5$, and the analogous pair with means 2 and 1, instead gives
$$
(a,\beta_{12})\approx(0.0391767,0.1136031),\qquad
(b,\beta_{23})\approx(0.4328981,0.0763367),
$$
with rates and slopes in inverse years. These are an alternative continuous-age calibration, not the frozen-age answer boxed above.