Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2021 / ii / Paper 1 / 6E / b / iii

At an endemic equilibrium, $I^{\ast }>0$. The equation $\dot{I}=0$ then givesSince also $S^{\ast }>0$, the equation $\dot{S}=0$ givesThis infective population is positive precisely whenwhich is exactly the assumed instability condition for the disease-free equilibrium. Thus the endemic equilibrium of the susceptible-infective model with exponential birth exists.

At this equilibrium the relations above reduce the Jacobian matrix toHenceBy the trace-determinant stability criterion, both eigenvalues have negative real part. The linearization stability theorem therefore proves that the endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable.