A singular isothermal sphere has total density and circular speed
If gas traces the gravitating matter, . A moving black hole gravitationally focuses that gas, so the relevant estimate is the Bondi--Hoyle--Lyttleton accretion rate
Hydrostatic gas in the isothermal potential has of order , and therefore
up to an order-one coefficient. Taking and gives multiplying the displayed expression. The same scaling that produces Chandrasekhar dynamical friction therefore sets the likely capture rate as the hole spirals inward. Feedback, angular momentum, a gas core, or a multiphase medium can reduce the actual rate.

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