Let be the pore fraction and put . In the long-wave approximation, the pore pressure is hydrostatic, , so Darcy's law gives the horizontal volume flux per unit width
Local mass conservation therefore gives the Boussinesq equation for an unconfined aquifer
The river and drainage-divide conditions are
Before the river disturbance reaches the divide, use the similarity solution
Substitution gives the nonlinear boundary-value problem
It can be solved numerically. If , then the riverward flux and near-river profile are
The negative sign means flow toward decreasing ; the discharge into the river is .
At steady state, and , so
Using gives
Near the river,
After rainfall stops, the late finite-domain solution is the separable aquifer drawdown
The dimensionless profile is determined by
If , then
and
Thus aquifer thickness decays as and river discharge as .
Let be the grain density and . Vertical force balance for the poroelastic aquifer gives
with compression taken negative in . Hence
The zero-effective-stress condition then gives
This identifies the poroelastic compaction length.
The water volume per unit horizontal distance is
For , a Taylor expansion yields
Storage conservation is . Integrating from river to divide and using gives the river influx
For and a groundwater profile that changes little during one tide, the direct storage oscillation has magnitude
With typical thickness and mean recharge discharge ,
Using the steady balance gives the equivalent estimate .

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