The risk set at contains every individual still under observation and event-free immediately before . Since the observed times are strictly ordered increasingly, these are individuals , so its size is
At time , the observed number of events is and the exposure to the common instantaneous hazard is the risk-set size . The likelihood score for a hazard increment therefore equates observed and expected events:
Thus the Nelson–Aalen estimator is
It estimates the cumulative hazard function by adding event count divided by current exposure at every observed event time.

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