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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2024 / ib / Paper 3 / 18H / c / Solution

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 ib Paper 3 18H c
Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
Bayes' formula divides the point-null contribution to the mixture density by the full marginal density:
q(x)=ϕ1/n​(x)+ϕτ2+1/n​(x)ϕ1/n​(x)​.
(1)
Since
ϕ1/n​(x)ϕτ2+1/n​(x)​=1+nτ2​1​exp[2(1+nτ2)n2τ2x2​],
(2)
the posterior probability of a Gaussian point null is
q(x)={1+1+nτ2​1​exp[2(1+nτ2)n2τ2x2​]}−1​.
(3)

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