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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge
/
2025
/
iii
/
Paper 207
/
6
/
b
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Mathematics course of the University of Cambridge
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge
2025
iii
Paper 207
6
2026-09-24
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Solution
b
Solution
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b
Survival preferentially selects smaller frailties, so
E
[
U
∣
T
≥
t
]
generally decreases with
t
. For the two-point distribution,
γ
(
u
,
t
)
=
[
e
−
θt
/2
+
e
−
3
θt
/2
]
/2
e
−
u
θt
[
δ
(
u
−
1/2
)
+
δ
(
u
−
3/2
)]
/2
.
(1)
At
t
=
0
this equals
g
(
u
)
, and
E
[
U
∣
T
≥
t
]
=
e
−
θt
/2
+
e
−
3
θt
/2
2
1
e
−
θt
/2
+
2
3
e
−
3
θt
/2
.
(2)
It decreases from
1
to
1/2
, demonstrating survivor selection toward the less frail class.
Ancestors
(10)
6
Paper 207
iii
2025
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge
Mathematics course of the University of Cambridge
Course of the University of Cambridge
University of Cambridge
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