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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2025 / iii / Paper 207 / 6 / Unconditional hazard in a frailty model / Solution

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2025 iii Paper 207 6 Unconditional hazard in a frailty model
Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
A frailty model introduces an unobserved positive random effect U that multiplies an individual's hazard. With H0​(t)=∫0t​h0​(s)ds, marginal survival is
Sˉ(t)=∫0∞​e−uH0​(t)g(u)du.
(1)
Differentiation gives
hˉ(t)=h0​(t)∫0∞​e−uH0​(t)g(u)du∫0∞​ue−uH0​(t)g(u)du​=h0​(t)E[U∣T≥t].
(2)
Consequently hˉ(0)=h0​(0) exactly when EU=1.

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