The average treatment effect is more relevant than the average treatment effect on the treated because the contemplated policy changes treatment status for schools that are presently non-UTC, not merely the 43 schools that selected into existing UTC status. More precisely, the ideal target would be the average effect among the candidate schools the minister might convert; if that population is represented by all eligible schools, it is the ATE. An ATT from existing UTCs answers a narrower historical question and may not transport to the policy targets.

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