Predictable process Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
In discrete time, a process is predictable or previsible when is -measurable for every . In continuous time, predictability means measurability with respect to the predictable sigma-algebra.
Predictable rectangle 2026-10-14
A predictable rectangle has the displayed form for . Its indicator is a left-continuous adapted process, and these rectangles generate the predictable sigma-algebra on positive times. If the time-zero slice is included, also use with .
Quadratic-variation measure Created 2026-10-05 Updated 2026-10-14
For a L2-bounded continuous martingale , define a finite measure on the predictable sigma-algebra by . Its total mass is . The Lebesgue space identifies predictable processes that agree -almost everywhere. Integration against is an isometry from this space into L2-bounded continuous martingales starting at zero by the Itô isometry. This gives the correct integrand space even when the quadratic variation is random or is not absolutely continuous in time.
On , observe only . Before and at the observed lifetime, the natural filtration cannot distinguish any two surviving outcomes. The predictable sigma-algebra on positive times therefore consists exactly of sets whose trace on is for a Borel set , and whose trace on is arbitrary product-Borel. To prove sufficiency, is predictable because is left-continuous and adapted; on , insert a rational with and use the predictable rectangles .