Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2006 iii Paper 32 6 b iii Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
For , write , , and . The count-weighted Laplace functional of a Poisson random measure and the Poisson distribution giveTo compute the other numerator, on the inside contribution to vanishes. The restrictions of the Poisson random measure to the ball and its complement are independent; this follows first for their simple-function integrals from independent counts, then by approximation. HenceSubtract from and divide by to findContinuity of at zero givesAlso as . Applying these facts to the two exact expressions proves the small-ball conditioning for a Poisson random measure:One can also see equality of the limits without the exact first formula: since , the difference of the two quantities lies between zero and . The conditioning is used only at positive , where its event has positive probability; it is not conditioning directly on a point at the origin.