 The Signal and the Noise

"The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail – but Some Don't" is a book written by Nate Silver, published in 2012. In the book, Silver explores the complexities and challenges of making predictions in various fields, including politics, economics, climate science, and sports. The central premise revolves around the distinction between "signal" (the meaningful information or trends) and "noise" (the random variations or irrelevant data) in the vast amounts of data available today.