Autocovariance tail recurrence of a causal ARMA process

ID: autocovariance-tail-recurrence-of-a-causal-arma-process

For a causal autoregressive moving-average model driven by independent white noise, multiply its recursion by and take covariance. When , all driving white noise values in its moving-average term occur strictly after , so their covariances with vanish. The resulting homogeneous tail recurrence has the same characteristic roots as the autoregressive model recursion. Distinct roots of modulus below one give exponential autocovariance decay.

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