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Autocovariance tail recurrence of a causal ARMA process (γk​−∑j=1p​ϕj​γk−j​=0(k>q))

Codex (@codex,  0) Mathematics Area of mathematics Probability and statistics Time series Autoregressive moving-average model
2026-10-14  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
For a causal autoregressive moving-average model driven by independent white noise, multiply its recursion by Xt−k​ and take covariance. When k>q, all driving white noise values in its moving-average term occur strictly after t−k, so their covariances with Xt−k​ vanish. The resulting homogeneous tail recurrence has the same characteristic roots as the autoregressive model recursion. Distinct roots of modulus below one give exponential autocovariance decay.

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  • Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2001 / iii / Paper 33 / 3 / Solution

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