 Bias-variance decomposition for linear prediction

If $Y,Y^{\ast }$ are independent $N(\mu ,{\sigma }^2{I}_n)$ vectors and $H$ is a rank-$p$ orthogonal projection, thenThe first term is squared approximation bias, while $p{\sigma }^2$ is fitted-model variance and $n{\sigma }^2$ is irreducible new-response noise.