Concavity of the Poisson regression likelihood
ID: concavity-of-the-poisson-regression-likelihood
For a full-column-rank design and positive fitted means , the log-likelihood has Hessian , which is negative definite. Thus any finite stationary point is the unique maximum-likelihood estimator. Full rank does not guarantee existence: with an intercept and all counts zero, the supremum is approached as the intercept tends to . If every observed count is positive, a full-rank design does give a finite maximum: each function tends to in either tail and is bounded above, and as , so the negative log-likelihood is coercive.
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