 Conjunction-longitude sensitivity to an encounter

For an exterior circular grain with radiation-pressure coefficient $\beta$, set $q=\sqrt{1-\beta }$ and $ϵ=a/a_p-1$. Its next conjunction occurs after the synodic period, during which the planet's unwrapped mean longitude advances by $\Lambda =2\pi /[1-q(1+ϵ{)}^{-3/2}]$. A weak planetary scattering encounter changes this by $\delta \Lambda \simeq -3\pi q(1+ϵ{)}^{-5/2}\delta ϵ/[1-q(1+ϵ{)}^{-3/2}{]}^2$. Unwrapped longitude counts turns; reducing it modulo $2\pi$ before comparison would erase this measure of timing sensitivity.