Planetary scattering is the alteration of a smaller body's orbital energy and angular momentum by close encounters with a planet. Repeated encounters can eject, accrete, or detach the body.
For a nearly radial Kepler orbit, , so modest changes in specific angular momentum can strongly change pericentre. A planetary torque acting for a reference orbital time gives . Coherent kicks change by order itself after orbital-scale encounters, whereas uncorrelated kicks require an order- random-walk count. Both estimates are conditional on encounter geometry: a close encounter with a smaller impact parameter can give a much larger kick.
Model successive uncorrelated planetary kicks as a random walk in inverse semi-major axis , proportional to negative specific orbital energy. If the root mean square kick per periapsis passage is and the initial value is , the characteristic number of passages to reach the escape scale is . For and passage interval ,
The quantity has inverse-length units, not the units of a variance-per-time diffusion coefficient. With , that coefficient is . This estimate assumes many independent encounters; changing orbital periods and resonant correlations can invalidate the clock. It is not an exact mean first-passage time.
At fixed stellar mass , planetary mass density , age and initial ratio , the order-unity Safronov number comparison and comet energy diffusion give boundaries
Their logarithmic slopes in planetary mass versus radius are and . Above both, strong kicks and a short estimated diffusion time favour ejection; below the escape boundary, repeated weak encounters favour collision statistically. Below the age boundary, the stated diffusion mechanism has not completed on its characteristic clock. Collision lifetimes require additional cross-section and encounter-rate information, so this map alone cannot establish retention or accretion within the age.
For a planet on a circular stellar orbit, a common convention is . The escape-to-orbital-speed ratio measures the size of a strong gravitational assist relative to the stellar binding energy of a nearby comet. Large values tend to favour ejection over collision; small values favour repeated weak encounters with more collision opportunities. This is a statistical comparison, dependent on the initial orbit and encounter geometry, rather than a universal outcome threshold.
A gravitational assist ejects a weakly bound comet when the increase in its specific orbital energy exceeds its binding energy. For near-parabolic coplanar encounters, the weak-deflection ejection impact parameter scales as . Combining this with the phase-mixed comet surface density gives a one-encounter ejection time proportional to , within the local two-body encounter approximation.
For a particle initially having semimajor axis one and encountering a circular planet at radius one, the incoming stellar-frame speed is one. A conservative encounter at planet-relative speed changes the stellar-frame velocity by at most . Since stellar escape requires speed , a necessary bound is . Retaining the outgoing relative-velocity geometry sharpens the necessary bound to . Neither inequality by itself guarantees a realizable deflection at a specified impact parameter.
The geometric collision cross-section in a coplanar calculation is a length , rather than an area. For one comet with local surface probability and relative velocity , the rare-event rate is . Without gravitational focusing, the resulting mean collision time scales as for deep planet-crossing orbits at fixed stellar mass and planetary mass density.
For a population with randomized vertical phases, orbital inclination , and , the effective volume probability near the planetary plane is proportional to . The collision time then scales as , at fixed stellar mass and planetary mass density. An individual inclined Kepler orbit whose orbital nodes do not intersect the planet's orbit need not collide at all.

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