Countable-state Markov chain ergodic theorem

ID: countable-state-markov-chain-ergodic-theorem

For an irreducible Markov chain on a countable state space with positive recurrence and stationary distribution , the displayed almost sure convergence holds from every initial state whenever . In particular, the empirical fraction of visits to converges to . No aperiodicity is needed. Regeneration at successive returns to a state reduces the result to the strong law of large numbers for independent excursion lengths and rewards. This extends the finite-state Markov chain ergodic theorem.

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