Ergodic theorem for a positive Harris recurrent Markov chain

ID: ergodic-theorem-for-a-positive-harris-recurrent-markov-chain

For a positive Harris recurrent Markov chain with invariant probability and , its time average converges almost surely to the invariant expectation:
This is the consistency result for Markov chain Monte Carlo averages. Independent-observation variance formulas do not follow from this theorem.

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