Finite-horizon pricing density for Gaussian drift learning

ID: finite-horizon-pricing-density-for-gaussian-drift-learning

For the Gaussian Brownian drift filter , with independent prior , the observation law has density
relative to driftless Wiener measure. The law having fixed observation drift has density relative to the same reference. Their ratio is therefore a positive mean-one density on every finite horizon. In the observation filtration it satisfies , where is the posterior mean and the innovation process. This density-ratio argument establishes a true martingale without an unsupported global Novikov condition for the unbounded posterior mean.

New to topics? Read the docs here!