Gaussian tails force an unbounded normalized partial-sum limsup

ID: gaussian-tails-force-an-unbounded-normalized-partial-sum-limsup

For independent identically distributed mean-zero variables with finite positive variance, the central limit theorem gives a positive eventual lower bound for for every finite . The decreasing events have probabilities bounded below, so continuity from above of a measure gives positive probability that the limsup is at least . The limsup itself is unchanged by removing any finite initial sum, hence is tail measurable. Kolmogorov zero-one law makes each event “limsup at least ” certain; intersect over integer . The result is false for zero variance. One should apply the zero-one law to the limsup, rather than assume the exact threshold infinitely-often event is unaffected by a vanishing change.

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