Joint exponential moment in overlap correction
ID: joint-exponential-moment-in-overlap-correction
The joint exponential moment in overlap correction is the expected value that controls the mean of a variance-corrected overlap estimate. It retains the dependence between a logarithmic reading error and its estimated variance . Separate marginal distributions do not determine this expectation.
For and ,An original multivariate Gaussian integral evaluates a useful family exactly. Let , and , with and a symmetric positive semidefinite matrix. Completing the square givesIndeed, combining the Gaussian density with the correction changes its precision matrix to and shifts its center to . Integration gives the determinant factor. Positive semidefiniteness keeps the variance estimate nonnegative and the integral finite. This is a quadratic Gaussian overlap correction model, not a receiver specification.
The log-error variance is , while . Equality of those quantities makes the variance estimate unbiased; it does not make the corrected overlap unbiased.
For a concrete two-dimensional example, take and . Choosing uses the same normal component in both the reading and variance estimate, giving . Choosing uses an independent component, giving . Both variance estimates have the same chi-squared distribution and mean one. Their different joint relationships to the reading reverse the direction of the remaining bias.
In a measurement implementation, preserve which calibration residuals and normalization records are shared. JCGM 101 distinguishes joint input assignment from numerical propagation and discusses multivariate Gaussian inputs and prior uncertainty calculations.[ref] A Monte Carlo method can reproduce the integral for a specified joint model; independently resampling shared records would test another model. Compare simulated means with this exact family before interpreting numerical convergence as evidence about a physical receiver.
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