Last-excursion direction law at a transient junction

ID: last-excursion-direction-law-at-a-transient-junction

At a junction, let be the probability that one excursion leaves through branch and never returns. If , repeated returns restart the same probabilities by the Strong Markov property. Thus the probability of returns is , and eventual escape through is . When the branches have outward random-walk drift, the final infinite excursion tends to the corresponding end almost surely.

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