Minimal martingale measure in a one-period market

ID: minimal-martingale-measure-in-a-one-period-market

Let and be an invertible covariance matrix of discounted gains. The displayed signed martingale measure leaves unchanged the mean-zero random variables orthogonal to the martingale part : if and , then . Conversely, preservation of all these orthogonal directions forces the density to lie in the span of , and its pricing constraints give the displayed formula. If it is an equivalent martingale measure; if it is a dominated martingale measure. Positivity is an extra condition, not a consequence of absence of arbitrage alone. In one period this density also minimizes among square-integrable signed pricing densities, because every other such density differs by a vector orthogonal to . The initial capital in the unrestricted one-period quadratic hedge of a discounted payoff is .

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