Nonnegative state prices need not exclude arbitrage
ID: nonnegative-state-prices-need-not-exclude-arbitrage
If a traded payoff matrix has initial price vector with , there cannot be a negative-cost portfolio with nonnegative terminal payoff. Nevertheless a nonzero nonnegative attainable payoff supported only in zero-price states can cost zero and give an arbitrage. When every state has positive physical probability, excluding this possibility requires strictly positive Arrow state prices, not merely a nonnegative supporting vector.
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