Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-martingales-and-financial-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2007/a/4/b/ii/solution

Let be the event that the sample averages have a limit in the extended real number line. It is measurable: the bounded sequence converges exactly when it is Cauchy, and the Cauchy condition is a countable combination of measurable inequalities. Limits at correspond to extended limits .
For each fixed , remove the first terms and set
The difference tends to zero for every outcome, since the finitely many variables are real-valued. Thus these two sequences have an extended limit simultaneously. Equivalently their arctangents differ by a quantity tending to zero, because arctangent is Lipschitz. The event is therefore expressible using alone. Since this holds for every , .
Kolmogorov's law gives or one. In the latter case the measurable extended variable , redefined on a null set if needed, is the almost sure convergence. In the former there is almost surely no extended-real limit. Hence extended convergence occurs almost surely, or divergence occurs almost surely. The law need not make the value of a possible limit finite.

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