Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2002/iii/paper-29/6/a/solution

If the discounted zero-coupon bond price is a martingale, its expectation is . The Gaussian moment-generating function applied to the representation above gives , so
Differentiate in maturity . The two mean derivatives are and . Symmetry of the covariance in its last two arguments makes the two boundary terms in the derivative of the double integral equal. Hence
We obtain the Gaussian forward-rate covariance drift restriction
which proves that the martingale condition implies the mean restriction. Only maturity differentiation is used; a time derivative of the covariance is unnecessary.

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