Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2002/iii/paper-40/2/b/iv/solution

For , the indicator is always one, and the importance weight reduces to
Averaging these independent contributions gives
As a direct normalization check, its expectation is . For this equals , the exact standard Cauchy distribution tail probability. The substitution , rather than with the same symbol left unchanged, explains why the displayed denominator contains .

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