Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2002/iii/paper-40/3/a/ii/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2002 iii Paper 40 3 a ii Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Write , , , , and , with positive-definite. For fixed , the terms involving in the posterior exponent areComplete the square. With and , this givesFor fixed , collect the powers and exponential terms involving :Hence, in the paper's shape-scale inverse-gamma distribution convention,There is no extra in this shape, because the normal coefficient prior is independent of . These are the independent normal and inverse-gamma regression priors conditionals.
The Gaussian normalization printed in the PDF is incorrect. The proper -dimensional prior probability density function is . For fixed this correction is constant in and leaves the two conditionals unchanged, but it must be retained when comparing different model orders in part (b).
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