Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2004/iii/paper-35/5/d/solution

The unit zero-coupon bond pays one at maturity. Its risk-neutral valuation therefore is
No particular rate coefficients were specified, so this expectation is the general answer; evaluating it further requires a chosen one-factor short-rate model.
For the alternative derivation let be the bank discount factor. For an integrable discounted payoff, pricing gives
which is a martingale by the tower property of conditional expectation. For a payoff determined by the Markov rate state, this conditional expectation is represented by the indicated pricing function. A path-dependent claim requires an appropriately enlarged state, as in part (c). Now has finite variation. Applying Itô formula and the product rule under the risk-neutral measure, whose rate drift is , yields
Under the smoothness and integrability conditions used above, the martingale has zero finite-variation drift. The bracket therefore vanishes, giving again
For the bond the terminal condition is . This argument also shows why stochastic discounting remains inside the conditional expectation.

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