Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2005/ib/paper-4/19d/iii/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 ib Paper 4 19D iii Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
Let and denote the design and error vectors, and put . The residual vector is , while . Since ,These are jointly Gaussian linear functions of , so the entire residual vector is independent of , not merely uncorrelated with it. Choose an orthonormal basis whose first vector is . In that basis has independent standard normal coordinates, and the residual keeps exactly the remaining coordinates. ThereforeTogether with part (ii), this specifies the joint distribution as the product of the slope's normal law and the scaled chi-squared distribution. In particular : the variance maximum-likelihood estimator is biased downward.
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