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ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2005/iii/paper-42/6/iv/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 42 6 iv Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let be a regular likelihood-ratio test statistic for smooth restrictions, so its leading null law is . Suppose a higher-order calculation gives . The Bartlett correction rescales the statistic:Its mean is , eliminating the first-order mean error. In regular likelihood models satisfying the usual Bartlett expansion, the same scaling removes the leading distributional error against the chi-square reference law, leaving an error for fixed tail probabilities. Matching a mean alone would not establish this distributional conclusion for an arbitrary statistic.
The coefficient depends on the model, null restrictions and nuisance parameters; it can be obtained from higher derivatives and cumulants of the log-likelihood, or estimated by null simulation when an analytic expression is inconvenient. Nuisance parameters require their appropriate null values or estimates. A correction improves finite-sample calibration within regular asymptotic theory; it does not turn a boundary-parameter or unidentifiable problem into a regular chi-square problem.
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