Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2007/iii/paper-33/1/c/ii/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2007 iii Paper 33 1 c ii Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Put . It is a conditional-expectation martingale. We justify why its limit is , rather than just quoting convergence to an unspecified random variable.
First the family is uniformly integrable. For , nonnegativity and the conditional expectation identity giveThus its tail expectations are at most twice the integrable tail of , uniformly in . The uniformly integrable martingale convergence theorem gives a limit almost surely and in . For any and ,Pass to the limit and extend from to all Borel sets by the Monotone class theorem. The equality of these integrals forces almost surely. Combining this with the preceding convergence of proves
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