Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2008/ii/paper-2/28j/c/solution

For a Dollar investor, the Euro bank account has Dollar value . After Dollar discounting, it is . Its conditional mean growth exponent is , so the martingale requirement gives
With equal rates, is a martingale under by part (a), whereas has positive drift and is not a martingale when . In the degenerate zero-volatility case, both exchange rates are constant and both are martingales; the asserted nonmartingale conclusion implicitly requires a genuinely risky exchange rate.

New to topics? Read the docs here!