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ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2008/iii/paper-44/1/a/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2008 iii Paper 44 1 a Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let the prior odds be , so . The Type I error gives , while the statistical power gives . By Bayes' theorem,This is a posterior probability of the null, not the false-positive probability conditional on the null. The distinction is the base-rate effect in a positive study.
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