The statistical power of a test at an alternative parameter value is the probability that the test rejects its null hypothesis at that value.
For two independent samples of size with event probabilities , put , , and . The normal approximation to a two-sided level- test has power
For rare events, independent Poisson distributions approximate the counts. Conditional on their total, the null count allocation is binomial distribution with probability one half; under the alternative the allocation probability is . Averaging its exact rejection probability over the alternative total supplies a discrete power calculation.
// Target: probability-theory.bigb

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