The statistical power of a test at an alternative parameter value is the probability that the test rejects its Null hypothesis at that value.
For two independent samples of size n with event probabilities p0,p1, put δ=p0−p1, pˉ=(p0+p1)/2, s02=2pˉ(1−pˉ)/n and s12=[p0(1−p0)+p1(1−p1)]/n. The normal approximation to a two-sided level-α test has powerFor rare events, independent Poisson distributions approximate the counts. Conditional on their total, the null count allocation is binomial distribution with probability one half; under the alternative the allocation probability is p0/(p0+p1). Averaging its exact rejection probability over the alternative total supplies a discrete power calculation.
1−Φ(s1z1−α/2s0−δ)+Φ(s1−z1−α/2s0−δ).
// Target: probability-theory.bigb
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- Base-rate effect in a positive study
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- Egon Pearson
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