Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2009/iii/paper-101/3/a/solution

A discrete-time martingale relative to a filtration is an adapted process with and
Iterating conditional expectation also gives for . It is bounded in when each is square integrable and
This is a uniform bound on the second moments, not a pathwise bound on all sample values.
The optional stopping theorem for bounded stopping times says that, if for a deterministic finite , then
Here is the stopping-time sigma-algebra. The second assertion follows by taking and then expectations. An bound is not needed: integrability at the finitely many deterministic times suffices.
For a proof, both stopped values are integrable since . Expand
If , then by the definition of the stopping-time sigma-algebra, and because is a stopping time. Thus the indicator of is -measurable. Multiplying the sum by , taking expectations, and conditioning each summand on gives zero, by the martingale increment property. Therefore for every . Since is -measurable, this is exactly the claimed conditional expectation identity.

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