Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2010/ii/paper-2/30i/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2010 ii Paper 2 30I Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
Relative to a filtration , a martingale is an adapted integrable process with ; a supermartingale has the corresponding inequality . A stopping time has for every .
For , the pathwise identityhas -measurable indicators. Conditioning each summand gives zero expected increment for a martingale, and a nonpositive one for a supermartingale. All terms are integrable because the sum is finite. Thus and , proving the requested inequality when their initial values agree.
A self-financing strategy holds shares during period , chosen using information at time . Its cash investment is , which earns the risk-free return. HenceUse the terminal condition from the original PDF. Conditional on the current state and past, the next return has the law of and is independent of the past. Therefore the conditional expectation of for the chosen holding is at most its supremum over all holdings, namely . Assuming the finite values and integrability implicit in this stochastic-control formulation, the value process is a supermartingale.
It follows that for every admissible strategy. If the strategy makes this process a martingale, equality holds for it. attains the upper bound and is optimal. No existence of an optimizer or finiteness of an unconstrained supremum is being assumed without the stated admissibility conditions.
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