Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2010/iii/paper-33/1/i/solution

The displayed equation has nominal orders , with
The AR root is , and the MA roots are and , all strictly outside the unit disc. Thus its stationary solution is causal and invertible. There is also common factor cancellation in an ARMA model: the convergent inverse of cancels the shared factor, giving
Consequently the displayed representation is ARMA(1,2), but its minimal order is ARMA(0,1). This also follows without formal operator cancellation: the difference between any solution and the right-hand side satisfies . A stationary finite-variance difference must have zero variance, since stationarity would give ; its constant mean must also vanish. A transient chosen by an arbitrary initial condition is not the stationary process whose ACF is requested.
For this moving-average model, independence of the noise gives
while for , since the two noise sets are disjoint. Therefore its autocorrelation function is
The reduced moving-average inverse is , whose coefficients are absolutely summable, confirming invertibility directly.

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