Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2012/iii/paper-36/3/b/solution

Apply the preceding argument to the two product observation laws and the real-valued estimator . Alternatively, directly use
The average of the two mean squared errors is at least times the overlap of the two joint probability density functions. Their overlap equals
Taking the infimum over estimators therefore yields
Here is the minimax risk for this functional. The factor is the total variation distance, so the same metric squared-loss two-point bound applies to a functional even when distinct density parameters have the same functional value.

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