Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2013/iii/paper-30/2/e/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2013 iii Paper 30 2 e Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
The analysis of variance provides evidence of a chocolate effect both with day included (, p-value ) and with day omitted (, p-value ). Because every chocolate–day cell has the same replication, balanced factorial orthogonality separates the two main effects; the chocolate row is meaningful despite being entered first.
The chocolate-only fitted group means are approximately boards for A, B, C, D respectively. Thus A has the largest fitted lecturing speed and C the smallest. Relative to A, the fitted differences are boards. The printed individual Student t-tests give strong evidence for the A–C contrast (p-value ); B and D versus A have p-values and , respectively. Those latter contrasts are not significant at 5%, and the output does not test all other pairwise comparisons. Simultaneous claims would require accounting for multiple hypothesis testing.
There is little evidence of a day effect after adjusting for chocolate. A chocolate-only normal linear model is therefore a reasonable simpler summary, with residual standard deviation about boards and explained variation . This is an association under the additive statistical model; a causal claim would additionally require an appropriate assignment of chocolate and checks of the regression residuals and possible interaction terms.
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