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ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2014/iii/paper-35/4/c/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2014 iii Paper 35 4 c Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
Use a proper normal distribution prior centered at zero on the log odds ratio. For example,puts approximately 95 percent of its mass between and , giving odds ratios roughly between and , close to and . Centering at zero treats reciprocal odds ratios symmetrically. If the desired central 95 percent interval is exactly , use standard deviation . A soft prior is appropriate for implausibility, whereas a bounded uniform prior would declare effects outside the limits impossible.
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