Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2014/iii/paper-36/2/b/solution

The condition for a causal linear-filter solution is . Its mean-square expansion is . Summing the matching white noise terms gives
The assumed orthogonality of every to every extends to every by L2 convergence of that expansion. Hence the added-noise process has mean zero and
This depends only on lag, proving weak stationarity. Its autocorrelation has the same geometric tail as the latent autoregression, but its positive-lag correlations are reduced by the additional variance at lag zero. This is the autocovariance of an AR(1) process observed with white noise. Strict stationarity or Gaussianity is not implied by white noise covariance assumptions alone.

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