Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2014/iii/paper-38/1/d/solution

Stop just before a large predictable coefficient would be used. Set
with the infimum of the empty set equal to infinity. Because is -measurable, is a stopping time. The increment of the stopped martingale transform is
Its coefficient is predictable and bounded by : the first coefficient exceeding occurs at the step after stopping, and is never included. Part (c) makes a martingale. Since the finitely many on any fixed finite horizon are finite almost surely, almost surely. Thus
This is predictable-coefficient localization of a martingale transform. Stopping after taking the large increment would not give the required bound.

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