Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2016/ib/paper-1/19h/a/solution

A statistic is a sufficient statistic for if the conditional distribution of the data given does not depend on . For a dominated family with density or mass function , the Fisher-Neyman factorization theorem states that this is equivalent to
where is nonnegative and independent of , and is nonnegative and depends on the data only through .
For a discrete sample space, suppose first that the factorization holds. If , summing over the fibre gives , so
This conditional distribution is independent of , proving that is a sufficient statistic. Conversely, let be the common conditional mass function guaranteed by the sufficient statistic property, for every fibre attainable under at least one parameter. Set and . Then . Fibres never attained under any parameter can be assigned any conditional distribution, since their multiplying probability is always zero. This proves both directions of the discrete criterion, including possible parameter-dependent supports.

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