Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2016/ib/paper-2/8h/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2016 ib Paper 2 8H Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
Under the null hypothesis the three outcome probabilities are the same in the two independent samples. The pooled row totals are , and both column totals are , out of a total of . Thus the expected counts in each column are . These exceed the usual small-count threshold for the asymptotic Pearson chi-squared test of homogeneity.
The Pearson chi-squared statistic for contingency tables isUnder the null, its asymptotic chi-squared distribution has degrees of freedom. Equivalently, the two independent three-category samples have four probability parameters unrestricted and two under the common-probability null. The upper-tail critical value is .
Since , do not reject the equal-effect hypothesis at the 1% level. For two degrees of freedom, the approximate p-value is , just above . This is a decision at the specified significance level, not evidence that the two outcome distributions have been proved identical.
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