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ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2016/iii/paper-207/3/a/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2016 iii Paper 207 3 a Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
In the SIR model, count susceptible, infectious, and recovered immune individuals. The closed population has . Under homogeneous mixing, use the paper's mass-action infection convention: each susceptible has infection hazard function , so the population infection rate is . Each infectious individual recovers with hazard function , giving population recovery rate and mean infectious duration .
The arrows are one-way: recovered individuals are immune, and there are no demographic entries or exits. The transition intensities attached to the arrows are population flow rates, rather than individual hazard functions.
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