Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2016/iii/paper-207/3/b/solution

The deterministic SIR model follows the ordinary differential equations
Use and . The state space is , ; summing the three equations proves conservation of this population. Infection is supported only where and , and recovery only where . The rates vanish at the corresponding boundaries, preventing negative compartment sizes.
This convention has an unnormalized population infection rate , as required by the printed threshold. A convention with infection rate would use a differently scaled parameter.

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